How it works
A prediction market for real-world events — simple and transparent
You buy an “opinion” (YES/NO) like a stock: you can hold it until the event resolves or sell earlier and lock in profit while market expectations shift.
Welcome to Phorcast
Watch a short video about how the prediction market works and how to start earning.
Choose an event
Pick an event
The platform has hundreds of questions from the worlds of technology, finance, show business and politics.
Buy an opinion
In every event there are only two actions: buy “YES” or “NO”.
Sell at any moment
You can wait for the event to resolve or lock in profit earlier — just like with stocks.
What is this platform?
It is a prediction market for real-world events.
Predict currency rates, Telegram trends and world news. Your intuition earns money every day, not only on resolution day.
Example event
Will the price of a dozen grade C0 eggs rise above 180 rubles at Pyaterochka by Easter?
The event has two outcomes: YES or NO.
How it works: price and profit
Price = the market opinion (0–100)
- Each outcome has its own price — from 1 to 100 USDT.
- You can read this price as a probability percentage: $70 ≈ 70% of participants “believe” in the outcome.
Example
If the price of “YES” = $70, then the majority believes in this outcome at 70%.
You bought “YES” for $1000 → if the event happens, you receive roughly $1300 (≈ +30%).
If you are sure the event will not happen, and the price of “NO” = $30 — this is a chance to earn on the crowd being wrong. You bought for $1000 → if you are right, you can take home about $3333 (≈ +233%).
This is not a bet: you can sell early (like a stock)
Example of “opinion shares”
You bought “NO” at $30 for $1000 — that is roughly 33 “shares”. Tomorrow the price became $40. You do not need to wait for Easter: you can sell now and receive about $1332, that is +$332 of profit.
Every event has a chart and two buttons: buy “YES/NO”. When the price has risen, you press “Sell” and lock in profit.
The situation changes in real time depending on what people vote for. Your intuition can earn income every day while market expectations shift.
Why is it better than bets or crypto/stocks?
Phorcast vs bets
Comparison “at a glance”
You play against the bookmaker
Bets
✓
Phorcast
✕
You can exit early (sell your position)
Bets
✕
Phorcast
✓
The market (participants) sets the price
Bets
✕
Phorcast
✓
Transparent mechanics (YES/NO as a “share”)
Bets
✕
Phorcast
✓
Phorcast vs crypto/stocks
Simplicity + grounded in facts
A simple bet on a fact (YES/NO)
Crypto/stocks
✕
Phorcast
✓
You depend on “whales” and manipulation
Crypto/stocks
✓
Phorcast
✕
You depend only on real facts
Crypto/stocks
✕
Phorcast
✓
You can earn on price movement (no need to wait for resolution)
Crypto/stocks
✓
Phorcast
✓
Frequently asked questions
— Where does the money for payouts come from?
The money comes from participants who made an incorrect prediction. We are the platform that ensures fairness of the deal between users, and we take a 2–5% commission.
— What decides who won?
We use only official data sources and public reports. Each outcome is verified by independent oracles to rule out tampering.
— What is the minimum amount to start?
You can start with literally 100 rubles. Try small amounts to understand the mechanics and get a feel for the market.
Ready to put your intuition to the test?
Choose an event, buy “YES/NO” and trade your opinion like a stock — lock in profit at any moment.