French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Volume$115.7K
Dominique de Villepin
$10 24h volume
60%
François Hollande
$17.6 24h volume
24%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$45 24h volume
19%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$12.8 24h volume
8%
Élisabeth Borne
$33.9 24h volume
6%
Michel Barnier
$9.6 24h volume
6%
Manuel Bompard
$32.4 24h volume
6%
Gérald Darmanin
$16.1 24h volume
6%
François Bayrou
$954.8 24h volume
4%
Sébastien Lecornu
$69.4 24h volume
3%
Valérie Pécresse
$17.6 24h volume
3%
Jordan Bardella
$96.2 24h volume
3%
Mathilde Panot
$173.6 24h volume
3%
Jean Castex
$13.7 24h volume
3%
Carole Delga
$20.1 24h volume
2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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