Markets·Science

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Volume$38.3K
Ethiopia
$21 24h volume
53%
Nigeria
$1.2 24h volume
50%
South Sudan
$166.6 24h volume
47%
India
$5.3 24h volume
44%
Canada
$33 24h volume
41%
Burundi
$27 24h volume
38%
Somalia
$57.8 24h volume
35%
China
$248.6 24h volume
25%
Rwanda
$67.2 24h volume
24%
Republic of the Congo
$8.6 24h volume
24%
Kenya
$2.3 24h volume
23%
United States
$153.6 24h volume
20%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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