Volume$17.3K
June 30, 2027
$73.6K 24h volume
7%
December 31, 2026
$1.2K 24h volume
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Found an error or inaccuracy?
Help make the event more accurate — suggest a correction, appeal the decision, or report a problem.
Related events
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
91%
1480+
Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?
88%
1460+
What will the next Muse model family be named?
50%
Other
Event news
All newsNo news for this event yet
Suggest news — we'll link it to the event and show it here after moderation.
