This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mistral AI's next Mistral Medium model (3.6+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Mistral" and "Medium" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Mistral Medium 3.1 or Mistral Medium 3.5 would qualify, including a skipped decimal or a new whole-number generation such as Mistral Medium 4. A new Mistral Medium model released after Mistral Medium 3.5 that Mistral designates only by a dated build, in the manner of mistral-medium-2508, without a version number, will also qualify. Models which retain a version designation of 3.5 or below, such as Mistral Medium 3.5 (released April 28, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, and models whose name does not include "Medium," such as Mistral Large 4, Mistral Small 4, or Ministral, Magistral, Codestral, Devstral, Pixtral, or Voxtral models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Mistral AI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Mistral AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
