Volume$722.45
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Found an error or inaccuracy?
Help make the event more accurate — suggest a correction, appeal the decision, or report a problem.
Related events
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
24%
December 31, 2028
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?
30%
December 31
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
50%
625-675T
Event news
All newsNo news for this event yet
Suggest news — we'll link it to the event and show it here after moderation.
