Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Volume$307.7K
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
$0 24h volume
66%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
$0 24h volume
31%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
$0 24h volume
2%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
$0 24h volume
1%
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