Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Volume$144.7K
Google
Google
$36 24h volume
27%
OpenAI
OpenAI
$4 24h volume
25%
xAI
xAI
$50 24h volume
13%
Z.ai
Z.ai
$80.9 24h volume
11%
Meta
Meta
$165.2 24h volume
10%
Alibaba
Alibaba
$73.1 24h volume
8%
Moonshot
Moonshot
$1.2K 24h volume
8%
Baidu
Baidu
$3.3 24h volume
7%
DeepSeek
DeepSeek
$8.1 24h volume
6%
Microsoft
Microsoft
$46.6 24h volume
5%
Amazon
Amazon
$1.3K 24h volume
3%
Mistral
Mistral
$993.1 24h volume
3%
Meituan
Meituan
$369.5 24h volume
3%
ByteDance
ByteDance
$1.6K 24h volume
1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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