Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Volume$24.2K
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$4.8K 24h volume
85%
Green Party (MP)
$1.9K 24h volume
71%
Centre Party (C)
$5.2K 24h volume
61%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$1.1K 24h volume
15%
Moderate Party (M)
$1.1K 24h volume
14%
Liberals (L)
$1.8K 24h volume
13%
Left Party (V)
$4.2K 24h volume
11%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$1.1K 24h volume
5%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$223.1 24h volume
0%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.

Found an error or inaccuracy?
Help make the event more accurate — suggest a correction, appeal the decision, or report a problem.