Markets·Science

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Volume$250.6K

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET:

  • A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US
  • A major meteor strikes (10kt+)
  • A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6)
  • An 8.5+ earthquake occurs

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf

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