French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Volume$94.4K
Dominique de Villepin
Dominique de Villepin
$5 24h volume
63%
François Hollande
François Hollande
$2.4 24h volume
61%
Bernard Cazeneuve
Bernard Cazeneuve
$48 24h volume
38%
Élisabeth Borne
Élisabeth Borne
$176.9 24h volume
10%
Jordan Bardella
Jordan Bardella
$100 24h volume
10%
Michel Barnier
Michel Barnier
$23.9 24h volume
10%
Sébastien Lecornu
Sébastien Lecornu
$220.1 24h volume
10%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$10 24h volume
8%
Manuel Bompard
Manuel Bompard
$10 24h volume
7%
Gérald Darmanin
Gérald Darmanin
$50 24h volume
6%
Carole Delga
Carole Delga
$46.2 24h volume
6%
Valérie Pécresse
Valérie Pécresse
$50 24h volume
4%
Mathilde Panot
Mathilde Panot
$33.5 24h volume
3%
Jean Castex
Jean Castex
$11.3 24h volume
2%
François Bayrou
François Bayrou
$2.1 24h volume
1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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